Accuracy Trend

Use this article to understand how forecast accuracy changes over time across teams or for a selected team.

The Accuracy Trend dashboard helps you review whether forecasts are becoming more accurate or less accurate through the financial year. It combines a monthly spend chart with a deviation view so you can compare total movement and accuracy together.

By default, the dashboard shows all teams for the selected financial year. You can apply a team filter to focus on one team.


Monthly Spend

Monthly Spend shows the month-by-month relationship between forecasted spend, actual spend, and prior year spend.

Use this section to:

  • Compare forecasted and actual spend across the financial year.

  • See whether actual spend is moving ahead of or behind forecast.

  • Add context with prior year spend when reviewing seasonality or recurring patterns.

The dotted or future-oriented forecast view helps show expected values for months where actual spend is not yet loaded.

Hover over a month to review the values shown for that point.


Deviation RAG Status

Deviation RAG Status shows the percentage deviation across months using the configured RAG thresholds.

Use this section to:

  • Monitor whether forecast accuracy is improving or declining across time.

  • Compare team performance month by month.

  • Identify months that fall outside expected tolerance.

This section is especially useful when the Monthly Spend chart shows a visible gap and you want to confirm whether that gap is within the accepted threshold.


How to interpret the page

A typical review pattern is:

  1. Start with Monthly Spend to identify where forecast and actual values begin to separate.

  2. Check Deviation RAG Status for the same months to confirm whether the difference is low, medium, or high.

  3. Apply a team filter if you want to isolate one team’s accuracy trend.


Next step

If you need a team-specific view, open Team Forecast.

If you need to review longer directional movement in year-to-date values, open Forecast Trend.


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